The right-hander has failed to last past the fifth inning in three 2014 outings, but the Reds have won nine straight when he starts versus the Cubs.Bailey (0-1, 8.16 ERA) turned in a second straight five-inning stint Monday, allowing five runs as he did not get a decision in an 8-7 loss to Pittsburgh. He struck out a season-high nine but surrendered a career-worst four homers.The Reds (7-10) are 0-3 this year when Bailey starts, but he is 6-0 with a 3.39 ERA in his last nine outings against Chicago and 4-0 with a 2.62 ERA in his past five at Wrigley Field.The Cubs (5-11) may want to load their lineup with left-handed hitters, who are batting .538 off Bailey. Chicago may also want to swing early, since hitters are 4 for 8 when putting Bailey's first pitch in play and 3 for 5 with two homers on 0-1 counts.Nate Schierholtz figures to return to Chicago's lineup after sitting out Saturday's 8-4 win. The lefty-swinging outfielder is 7 for 15 off Bailey.It's been a different story for Starlin Castro, a career .185 hitter against Bailey.Chicago homered a season-best three times Saturday to end a season-high five-game slide after going three straight games without going deep. Welington Castillo, Mike Olt and Darwin Barney hit homers for the Cubs, who are now trying to win a series for the first time."I think the intensity was better," manager Rick Renteria said. "Obviously, the results were better. But had the results not been there, I think the way they went about it was significantly better than yesterday."Cubs slugger Anthony Rizzo left in the eighth inning with back spasms. He said he tweaked it stretching for a pickoff throw and has had similar issues in the past.Cincinnati fell for the second time in its last 18 games at Wrigley Field.Chicago's Carlos Villanueva (1-3, 11.57) will try to bounce back from a disastrous outing last Saturday in St. Louis. He gave up a career-high nine runs over three-plus innings in a 10-4 loss, and didn't have any answers afterward."I didn't feel bad," Villanueva said. "I felt like I had good stuff. But they're a good team and they got me out of there quickly."The right-hander has a career 4.12 ERA against the Reds, and he's 1/3 with a 2.98 ERA in seven starts. Joey Votto has given him the most trouble, going 7 for 18.Brandon Phillips is 3 for 24 off Villanueva. He went 0 for 5 on Saturday after leaving Friday's 4-1 victory in the third inning due to back spasms.Catcher Devin Mesoraco doubled twice Saturday and is 14 for 29 while hitting safely in all eight of his games.Billy Hamilton is 4 for 9 in this series and has four stolen bases in his last three games.Fellow outfielder Ryan Ludwick will likely miss a second straight game with a bruised toe.